Saturday, August 31, 2013

Understanding risk taking ability

We often hear that people should invest in assets depending upon their risk taking ability. But the million dollar question is what is ones risk taking ability? Can a questionnaire alone decide how much risk one can take ? If so will it remain the same till one meets his goals?

The answer is indeed very tricky. This is so because our risk taking ability is decided by many external factors. For example when the markets perform well even risk averse investors start investing in the markets and when markets don't do well our portfolio tends to get skewed towards debt. Our risk taking ability also depends on factors like peer pressure, our past experience, our family background etc.

Risk taking ability should purely depend upon your milestones and your current financial condition. If the goals are Short term in nature then it is better to invest in fixed income bearing securities though other riskier options could look exciting. Similarly when the goals are long term in nature a certain amount of risk could be taken in order to improve our return on investments. The problem is that more often than not people lose focus of  their goals and start investing looking at the product features and immediate gains. In such conditions your  ability to take risks changes drastically. When this happens and the investments don't yield the desired result then the entire planning falls flat.

So what should ideally decide your risk taking ability is the importance and seriousness of your milestones for which that particular investment is to be done. Once this is clear an assessment of one's risk taking ability could be easier and investments could be more focused and streamlined.

Mukund Seshadri is the senior partner at MSVentures Financial Planners.

Friday, August 30, 2013

Top Clean Energy Stocks To Own For 2014

The recent budget proposal from the Obama administration is taking a lot of criticism for its big emphasis on clean energy technology development. While some may critique the method on how this will be funded, others fear the possibility of these clean energy investments failing,�the most recent and most widely publicized example being the bankrupt solar company Solyndra.�

Yet while we rake the muck of these failed�investments, many of us look over the fact that several industries and technologies were made possible from government funding.�Clearly, not every investment the government makes will be a great success, but�several�successful�businesses have developed in large part because of government assistance. There are examples across almost every sector of industry, but for now let's focus on developments in energy and see if a failure like Solyndra is an�aberration or just part of everyday business for the government.

Top Clean Energy Stocks To Own For 2014: Art's-Way Manufacturing Co. Inc.(ARTW)

Art?s-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of agricultural equipment in the United States. It offers portable and stationary animal feed processing equipment and related attachments used to mill and mix feed grains into custom animal feed rations; a crop production line that includes grain drill equipment; hay and forage equipment consisting of forage boxes, forage blowers, running gears, dump boxes, rotary rakes, finger wheel rakes, and mergers; stalk shredders; portable grain augers; manure spreaders; sugar beet harvesting equipment; land maintenance equipment; and moldboard plows, as well as provides hay blowers to original equipment manufacturers. The company also manufactures and supplies pressure steel vessels and steel containment systems for water treatment, air receivers, refineries, co-generation, chemical, petrochemical, storage tanks, agriculture, marine, refrigeration, hydro pneumatic, heavy equipmen t, pharmaceuticals, and mining industries. In addition, it provides services, such as custom CAD drawing; welding; interior linings and exterior finishing; passivation of stainless steel; hydrostatic and pneumatic testing; design, build and finishing of skids; installation of piping; and non-destructive examination and heat treating, as well as offers after-market service parts. Further, the company produces and sells modular buildings that are used for animal containment and research laboratories. Art?s-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. sells its products through independent farm equipment dealers primarily under the Art?s-Way, Miller Pro, and Badger brand names. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Armstrong, Iowa.

Top Clean Energy Stocks To Own For 2014: United Therapeutics Corporation(UTHR)

United Therapeutics Corporation, a biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of therapeutic products for patients with chronic and life-threatening diseases in the United States and internationally. It offers Remodulin, Tyvaso, and Adcirca for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company also develops Oral Treprostinil (UT-15C), a new drug application filed with the United States Food and Drug Administration for the treatment of PAH. Its development products under Phase III clinical trials include Oral Treprostinil (UT-15C) Combination Therapy for PAH; Ch14.18 monoclonal antibody (MAb) targeting Neuroblastoma; and Remodulin for the treatment of PAH in the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, and Japan. The company?s development products under Phase I clinical trials comprise Beraprost-MR for PAH in North America, Europe, Mexico, South America, Egypt, India, South Africa, and Australia; 8H9 MAb targ eting Metastatic brain cancer; and IW001 for the treatment of Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and primary graft dysfunction. Its pre-clinical stage products consist of Glycobiology Antiviral Agents for viral infectious diseases; PLacental eXpanded cells targeting PAH; and pulmonary tissue replacement and remodeling products for the treatment of end-stage lung disease. The company serves pharmaceutical wholesalers through specialty pharmaceutical distributors and other distributors. United Therapeutics Corporation was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Silver Spring, Maryland.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Scott Rothbort]

    United Therapeutics(UTHR) is a biotechnology company specializing in the care of cardiovascular diseases. The company is also engaged in active research of products for the treatment of life-threatening diseases such as cancer and infectious diseases.

    Given the nature of the company's business, this stock poses the greatest risk of the companies on my list regarding the execution of its business plan. Fundamentally, the company has been generating excellent operating cash flow, which has enabled the pay-down of long-term debt.

    2011 was a big year for United Therapeutics, with earnings expected to more than double. That earnings growth is expected to slow down in 2012 -- but not enough to get you sick.

    United Therapeutics' raw beta is 0.66.

    United Therapeutics shows up on a recent list of 13 Biotech Stocks Bought and Sold by Hedge Funds.

Hot Financial Companies To Buy Right Now: Mermaid Maritime Public Co Ltd (DU4.SI)

Mermaid Maritime Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides tender rig drilling and subsea engineering services for the offshore oil and gas industry primarily in south east Asia and the Middle East. The company�s services include subsea inspection, repair, and maintenance; subsea infrastructure installation support; subsea remotely operated vehicle support; subsea emergency callout service; subsea salvage and decommissioning support; offshore drilling and workover services; and accommodation barge services. It operates through a fleet of 9 subsea vessels, 5 saturation diving systems, 12 remotely operated vehicle, 2 tender rigs, and 3 high specification premium jack-up drilling rigs. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. Mermaid Maritime Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of Thoresen Thai Agencies Public Company Limited.

Top Clean Energy Stocks To Own For 2014: Hotel Royal Ltd (H12.SI)

Hotel Royal Limited, an investment holding company, owns and operates hotels primarily in Singapore and Malaysia. It owns the Hotel Royal comprising 331 rooms and suites along Newton Road, Singapore; Hotel Royal @ Queens consisting of 223 suites, apartments, and rooms located at Queen Street Singapore; and Hotel Royal Penang, which includes 281 suites, apartments, and rooms located in Georgetown, Malaysia. The company also involves in property investment activities in Singapore, New Zealand, and Malaysia. It owns Grand Complex, a commercial complex that covers approximately 262,500 square feet of lettable retail and office space, and 330 car park lots in Wellington district, New Zealand. In addition, the company provides management and ancillary services. Hotel Royal Limited was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Singapore.

Top Clean Energy Stocks To Own For 2014: Marenica Energy Ltd(MEY.AX)

Marenica Energy Limited engages in the exploration and development of uranium deposits in Namibia and Australia. The company also explores for lead, zinc, silver, gold, and copper. Its principal project includes the Marenica Uranium project that covers an area of 527 square kilometers located in the Damara Province, Namibia. The company was formerly known as West Australian Metals Ltd and changed its name to Marenica Energy Limited in November 2009. Marenica Energy Limited was incorporated in 1978 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Top Clean Energy Stocks To Own For 2014: Heelys Inc.(HLYS)

Heelys, Inc., through its subsidiary, Heeling Sports Limited, designs, markets, and distributes action sports-inspired products under the HEELYS brand to the youth market. It primarily offers HEELYS-wheeled footwear, a dual-purpose footwear that incorporates a stealth and removable wheel in the heel, and allows the user to seamlessly transition from walking or running to rolling by shifting weight to the heel. The company also offers Nano inline footboard and branded accessories, such as replacement wheels. It distributes its products directly, as well as through international wholesale distributors to retail stores in the United States internationally. The company was formerly known as Heeling, Inc. and changed its name to Heelys, Inc. in August 2006. Heelys, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Carrollton, Texas.

Thursday, August 29, 2013

Best Canadian Companies To Watch For 2014

"The truth is out there," a certain fictitious FBI agent once declared. But increasingly, it seems "the truth" is that there are no UFOs -- or at least none in our neighborhood.

That's the upshot of a couple of surprising revelations out of Canada and the United Kingdom. In twin announcements, the U.K. Ministry of Defence (yes, they know they're spelling it wrong) and the Canadian Department of National Defence (ditto) recently revealed that they have halted investigations of reports of unidentified flying objects over their respective skies.

Citing documents it obtained under Canada's Access to Information Act, CBC News reported in March that the Canadian MND -- and Transport Canada, and the Royal Canadian Mounted Police as well -- has ceased to track and investigate UFO sightings north of our border. Similarly, secret files that have only just been released by the British MoD confirm that in 2009, the British also called a halt to UFO investigations in that country.

Best Canadian Companies To Watch For 2014: Oshkosh Truck Corporation(OSK)

Oshkosh Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets a range of specialty vehicles, and vehicle bodies worldwide. Its Defense segment manufactures severe-duty, heavy, and medium-payload tactical trucks for the Department of Defense, including hauling tanks, missile systems, ammunition, fuel, and troops and cargo for combat units. The company?s Access Equipment segment offers aerial work platforms and telehandlers used in a range of construction, agricultural, industrial, institutional, and general maintenance applications. This segment also manufactures towing and recovery equipment and related parts; and leases equipments for short-term to rental companies. The company?s Fire and Emergency segment provides custom and commercial fire apparatus, and emergency vehicles, including pumpers, aerial and ladder trucks, tankers, rescue vehicles, wildland rough terrain response vehicles, mobile command and control centers, bomb squad vehicles, hazardous materials control vehicl es, and other emergency response vehicles. This segment also offers snow removal vehicles in airports; custom ambulances for private and public transporters, and fire departments; mobile medical trailers for medical centers and service providers; mobile command and control centers and simulation units; and vehicles for broadcasters, TV stations, broadcast production, and radio stations. Oshkosh Corporation?s Commercial segment manufactures refuse collection vehicles for the waste services industry; front and rear discharge concrete mixers, and portable and stationary concrete batch plants for the concrete ready-mix industry; and field service vehicles and truck-mounted cranes for the construction, equipment dealer, building supply, utility, tire service, and mining industries. The company was formerly known as Oshkosh Truck Corporation and changed its name to Oshkosh Corporation in February 2008. Oshkosh Corporation was founded in 1917 and is based in Oshkosh, Wisconsin.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Stephen]

    This company has gotten shellacked lately as a reduced government budget could put a damper on future profits. Other factors are also weighing down on the stock as describedhere. For example, the company was able to win an important project from the government for armored vehicles but may actually be losing money due to higher than expected costs. Regardless, Oshkosh also sells some products commercially, most importantly trucks, so there’s still plenty of reason to like this company. Terex (TEX), who se business is reasonably similar to Oshkosh’s, lags in certain notable metrics. For instance, both gross margin and operating margin are lower. Additionally, 4 of the past 5 quarters have not been profitable for Terex, while Oshkosh brought in net income for all of those same quarters. OSK is also very attractive for its price/earnings growth and price to sales ratios, which are 0.78 and 0.22 respectively. Perhaps OSK’s best stat though is its price to book ratio of 1.01, which is pretty much a steal for any non-financial. Oshkosh’s cash flows are also reasonably strong, although debt levels are a bit worrisome.< /span> Regardless, with a beta of 2.50, look this stock to skyrocket once the economy recovers in 2012.

Best Canadian Companies To Watch For 2014: Texas Pacific Land Trust(TPL)

Texas Pacific Land Trust engages in the sale, lease, and management of land in the United States. It also retains oil and gas royalties, and involves in temporary cash investments. The company leases land to the ranching industry for grazing purposes. As of March 31, 2011, it owned surface rights in 949,355 acres of land in 20 counties in Texas; and 318 town lots in Loraine. The company also owned a 1/128 nonparticipating perpetual oil and gas royalty interest under 85,414 acres of land; and a 1/16 nonparticipating perpetual oil and gas royalty interest under 386,988 acres of land in the western part of Texas. Texas Pacific Land Trust was founded in 1888 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Top 10 Gold Companies To Invest In Right Now: Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.(SPB)

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer products company worldwide. It offers consumer batteries, including alkaline and zinc carbon batteries, rechargeable batteries and chargers, and hearing aid batteries and other specialty batteries; pet supplies, such as aquatic equipment and supplies, dog and cat treats, small animal foods, clean up and training aids, health and grooming products, and beddings; and home and garden control products comprising household insect controls, insect repellents, and herbicides. The company also provides electric shaving and grooming devices; small appliances, including small kitchen appliances and home product appliances; electric personal care and styling devices; and portable lighting. Its sells its products through various trade channels, including retailers, wholesalers and distributors, hearing aid professionals, industrial distributors, and original equipment manufacturers primarily under t he Rayovac, Remington, Varta, George Foreman, Black & Decker, Toastmaster, Farberware, Tetra, Marineland, Nature?s Miracle, Dingo, 8-in-1, Littermaid, Spectracide, Cutter, Repel, Hot Shot, Black Flag, and TAT brands. The company was headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin. As of January 7, 2011, Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Harbinger Group Inc.

Best Canadian Companies To Watch For 2014: Nexen Inc.(NXY)

Nexen Inc. operates as an independent energy company worldwide. The company?s Conventional Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces crude oil and natural gas from conventional sources. This segment operates in the United Kingdom, Canada and the United States, and offshore West Africa, Colombia, and Yemen. Nexen?s Oil Sands segment develops and produces synthetic crude oil from the Athabasca oil sands in northern Alberta. The company?s Shale Gas segment explores for and produces unconventional gas from shale formations in northeastern British Columbia. Nexen Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Best Canadian Companies To Watch For 2014: Encana Corporation(ECA)

Encana Corporation and its subsidiaries engage in the exploration for, development, production, and marketing of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids. The company owns interests in resource plays that primarily include the Greater Sierra, Cutbank Ridge, Bighorn, and Coalbed Methane resource plays located in British Columbia and Alberta, as well as the Deep Panuke natural gas project offshore Nova Scotia in Canada. It also holds interests in resource plays comprising the Jonah in southwest Wyoming, Piceance in northwest Colorado, Haynesville in Louisiana, and Texas resource play, including east Texas and north Texas. The company serves primarily local distribution companies, industrials, energy marketing companies, and other producers. Encana Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Nelson]

    Encana is not the oil and gas company it once was – it spun off its oil division early in 2009 as Cenovus (another good name to pick up if you want to add to any of the above four), while leaving Encana itself as a pure natural gas play.  But if you want to invest in nat gas, Encana is your Cadillac.  It’s probably the best choice out there for a large cap, extremely well-managed name that you won’t lose sleep over.  You only have to be concerned with the underlying commodity price.

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Injecting Global Medical Field with Technology

The most important and critical field where cutting-edge technology is really starting to vastly improve overall assistance and aid is the global medical field, writes Triska Hamid of The National.

The UAE is home to some of the world's most cutting-edge research into medical uses for semi-conductor chips. This area is a key pillar in the global medical device, technology, and equipment market, which is forecast to be worth more than US$440 billion by 2018, according to Espicom Business Intelligence, a unit of Business Monitor International.

In Abu Dhabi, researchers at the ATIC-SRC Center of Excellence for Energy Efficient Electronic Systems (ACE4S), a center jointly established by the Advanced Technology Investment Company and the Semiconductor Research Corporation, are working on the development of systems on chip (SOC) and micro-electromechanical systems (MEMs) in health care.

One such SOC currently under development is designed to monitor the onset of heart attacks by looking at a patient's change in weight.

"We have sensors that will be integrated in the shoes, which give weight and balance information. This information will be processed in correlation with the medical knowledge to give indicators about the risk of heart attack for the patient," says Ibrahim El Fadel, the co-director of ACES4S and a professor at Masdar Institute.

From advanced robotics that can enable remote surgery, to IT tools that can help ease and simplify administrative processes, technology is playing an ever-more sophisticated and crucial role in health care.

Increasingly, semi-conductor chips are finding their way onto the surgical table. The same chips that are used in devices like your smartphone or iPad can be used in the medical field.

Another project researchers from Khalifa University of Science, Technology and Research (Kustar) are looking at is a non-invasive SOC, which monitors the levels of glucose in diabetic patients to indicate when do they need an insulin injection.

Given the high risk of diabetes across the region, there has been a lot of research focused on this area. According to the International Diabetes Federation, there will be 60 million diabetes sufferers in the Middle East by 2030, up from 32.6 million in 2011. The GCC countries are at most risk with Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the UAE featuring high up in the top 10 countries for the highest rates of diabetes in the world.

"The idea of non-invasive glucose monitoring is the [goal] of monitoring. If successful, we will have a major impact on the health care industry worldwide," says Mr. El Fadel.

Professors at the American University of Sharjah (AUS) are also looking at dental care with braces imbedded with a chip that monitor the movement of the fixtures and will communicate with the dentist's office if any of them are separated from the teeth.

But it is not just high-tech gadgetry where technology can play a role in the development of health care. Many clinics and hospitals are now implementing electronic health records, which can reduce waiting times and misdiagnosis, and increase efficiency.

"We are using technology to make sure our care is really effective," says Marc Harrison, the chief executive at Cleveland Clinic Abu Dhabi.

"Anybody who is familiar with performance improvement, recognizes it improves quality and reliability of medical care. Using electronic health records provides a way of standardized processes as a way of solving problems," he adds.

"The technology behind the scenes makes things much safer for patients. When patient information is entered into an electronic health record, all sorts of vital statistics are recorded. This degree of integration is remarkable and will be a powerful tool in quality and safety."

If adopted universally, cases of wrong dosages given to patients because pharmacists cannot read a doctor's handwriting would become a thing of the past.

Using electronic health records, patient allergies will also be noted and so when a doctor prescribes medication, they will immediately be made aware of the ones that may be unsuitable.

"Those are huge benefits and allows for a coordination of care that old-style paper charts can never give," says Dr. Harrison.

Smartphone and mobile applications also present an opportunity to aid health care and can play a vital role in providing care to remote areas. The telecoms operator, Etisalat, has made headway in Africa through application, Mobile Baby.

"About 358,000 women die worldwide annually from complications during pregnancy, and childbirth, and most of these deaths are preventable with the access to quality care," says George Held, group senior director of products and services at Etisalat.

"Mobile Baby provides that care by connecting healthcare professionals to remote locations through mobile network connectivity to deliver diagnostics and treatment."

The smartphone today is sufficient enough to provide basic health-care information. Simply taking a picture on your phone of a wound, or a rash and sending it to a doctor or specialist can be the first steps in diagnosis and these trends are now beginning to take off.

"There is a lot of opportunity for us to use a highly penetrated market to improve health through apps and improve access to care as well. It presents an opportunity for patients to make appointments, participate in forums, and discuss illnesses," says Dr. Harrison.

Given the vulnerability of the online world to cyber attacks and hacking, some are reluctant to give over such personal information.

Eventually the benefits will be enough to move over to this new world of health care.

"One of the biggest fears that patients have is when you inject technology in health care, it will dehumanize the process of receiving care, that human empathy will be taken away," says Dr. Harrison.

"But if done properly, it will make it easy to do the right thing for patients and allows the provider, nurse, or doctor to attend to the emotional needs of the patient."

Read more from The National here…

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

Do Stock Investors See Value in Bank of America?

With shares of Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) trading around $12, is BAC an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

T = Trends for a Stock’s Movement

Bank of America provides various banking and financial products and services for individual consumers, small and middle market businesses, institutional investors, corporations, and governments in the United States and internationally. The company' operates in several segments: Consumer & Business Banking, Consumer Real Estate Services, Global Banking, Global Markets, and Global Wealth & Investment Management. The financial industry has taken some heat in recent years but it is the backbone of the economy and is here to stay. The United States is seeing sustained expansion so Bank of America will continue to see a modest rise in business from operations here. However, the real growth opportunities are coming from fueling outside economies that have significant room for growth. What better company to back growing economies than one that has lived through good and bad times? Through its segments, Bank of America is able to provide the products and services required by consumers and businesses worldwide.

T = Technicals on the Stock Chart are Strong

Bank of America stock has suffered greatly in recent years. From a single digit stock price to a monster rally, the stock has seen its fair share of volatility. Currently, the stock is attempting to regain ground and looks to be headed towards high prices not seen since 2010. Analyzing the price trend and its strength can be done using key simple moving averages. What are the key moving averages? The 50-day (pink), 100-day (blue), and 200-day (yellow) simple moving averages. As seen in the daily price chart below, Bank of America is trading above its rising key averages which signal neutral to bullish price action in the near-term.

BAC

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(Source: Thinkorswim)

Taking a look at the implied volatility (red) and implied volatility skew levels of Bank of America options may help determine if investors are bullish, neutral, or bearish.

Implied Volatility (IV)

30-Day IV Percentile

90-Day IV Percentile

Bank of America Options

29.18%

0%

0%

What does this mean? This means that investors or traders are buying a very minimal amount of call and put options contracts, as compared to the last 30 and 90 trading days.

Put IV Skew

Call IV Skew

May Options

Flat

Average

June Options

Flat

Average

As of today, there is an average demand from call buyers or sellers and low demand by put buyers or high demand by put sellers, all neutral to bullish over the next two months. To summarize, investors are buying a very minimal amount of call and put option contracts and are leaning neutral to bullish over the next two months.

On the next page, let’s take a look at the earnings and revenue growth rates and the conclusion…

E = Earnings Are Mixed Quarter-Over-Quarter

Rising stock prices are often strongly correlated with rising earnings and revenue growth rates. Also, the last four quarterly earnings announcement reactions help gauge investor sentiment on Bank of America’s stock. What do the last four quarterly earnings and revenue growth (Y-O-Y) figures for Bank of America look like and more importantly, how did the markets like these numbers?

2013 Q1

2012 Q4

2012 Q3

2012 Q2

Earnings Growth (Y-O-Y)

566.67%

-77.17%

-100%

121.11%

Revenue Growth (Y-O-Y)

5.48%

-25.03%

-28.19%

65.94%

Earnings Reaction

-4.72%

-4.24%

-0.21%

-4.92%

Bank of America has seen mixed earnings and revenue figures over the last four quarters. From these figures, the markets have been expecting more from Bank of America’s recent earnings announcements.

P = Poor Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector

How has Bank of America stock done relative to its peers, Citigroup (NYSE:C), JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), and sector?

Bank of America

Citigroup

JPMorgan Chase

Wells Fargo

Sector

Year-to-Date Return

6.80%

18.73%

11.40%

9.89%

10.54%

Bank of America has been a relative underperformer, year-to-date.

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Conclusion

Bank of America provides products and services that are essential to global growth and daily operations for consumers and businesses around the world. The stock is attempting to make progress after have a couple of dismal years but earnings and revenue figures have not really impressed investors. Relative to its peers and sector, Bank of America has trailed in year-to-date performance. WAIT AND SEE what Bank of America does this coming quarter.

Monday, August 26, 2013

Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer To Retire In Next 12 Months

Steve Ballmer has been CEO of Microsoft Microsoft since taking over from Bill Gates in January 2000, but his long tenure is drawing to a close.

The tech giant said Friday that Ballmer has decided to retire within the next year, and the board has begun a process to find his successor.

Ballmer, who has drawn criticism from investors for allowing rivals like Apple Apple and Google Google to outrun Microsoft in mobile devices, is currently trying to transform Microsoft to focus on devices and services rather than just software.

"There is never a perfect time for this type of transition, but now is the right time," Ballmer said in the company's release.

Since Ballmer took the reins Microsoft shareholders have had a negative total return of more than 17%, with the stock down over 35%, according to data from FactSet. While some of that decline can be attributed to the tech sector's rapid descent from the heights of the dot-com bubble, Microsoft has frustrated investors for years with its inability to translate a massive cash generation machine — revenue and profits have grown enormously — into stock market performance.

Citi analyst Walter Pritchard thinks the ultimate CEO transition may mean that some of the company's weaker businesses may be forced to pull their own weight, or risk being cut loose.

Ballmer's departure "puts everything on the table," Pritchard writes in a note Friday morning. "[A] new CEO will likely have broad freedom to make changes to the business, including exiting businesses and returning more capital," he adds, with an eye toward focusing on corporate customers and moving away from the consumer market, with the potential for greater capital return to shareholders beyond the billions the company has already shelled out in dividends and buyback.

Gates, who will sit on the board search committee tasked with finding Ballmer's replacement, said Microsoft is "fortunate to have Steve in his role until the new CEO assumes these duties."

Shares of Microsoft shot higher in pre-market trading and were up nearly 8% just after the open at $34.86. The surge still leaves Microsoft below the $35.44 close July 18, the day it reported ugly quarterly results that prompted a more than 11% drop in the following session.

Best Blue Chip Stocks To Invest In 2014

MSFT Chart

MSFT data by YCharts

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Steve Ballmer

Saturday, August 24, 2013

New Tools Ease 401(k) Cost Comparison for Advisors

Lincoln Trust on Tuesday launched a free plan comparison tool that allows financial advisors to compare various cost components between different 401(k) plans. Users input data from the plan providers and the tool generates a side-by-side comparison, with a benchmark of other comparable plans.

Users can access the tool at Lincoln Trust’s website, but can compare plans from any provider.

“With so many different fees attached to the typical 401(k) provided by mutual fund and insurance companies, it can be difficult to determine the total cost of maintaining a retirement plan,” Tom Gonnella, executive vice president for Lincoln Trust, said in a statement. “This tool makes it easier to assess total costs and allows for at-a-glance comparisons of up to three providers.”

Also launched Tuesday is a proposal generator where advisors can enter investment information and plan costs and generate a proposal in PDF form that displays the total cost of a plan, including revenue-sharing agreements.

The proposal generator is only available to authorized users.

“The goal of these two state-of-the-art services is to facilitate the delivery of a fully transparent cost analysis for any advisor to access so they can add more value to their clients and prospects than the average 401(k) advisor in the marketplace,” Gonnella said. “The initial usage of these tools has far exceeded our expectations and proves there is a real need by advisors to have access to this information to stay relevant.”

Monday, August 19, 2013

Pot of gold at the end of a rainbow

There's an old saying that you will find a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow. This may or may not be true. I guess those who love adventure can give it a shot. However, there is definitely a pot of gold - in fact many pots of gold - at the end of a financial rainbow.

Each colour of the rainbow represents an important financial principle. If you can assemble all these colours in your personal finances I am sure you too will find your pot of gold.

Red = Vitality, Energy, Activity

Business is activity, energy. Activity translates into profit. This profit increases the value of business. Equity is ownership of business and its profits. Thus owning good and profitable businesses through equity is an important component of your financial rainbow. You can do this by either buying shares directly or even through equity-based mutual funds/equity-based ULIPs.

Orange = Enthusiasm, Excitement

Money is not a serious subject. It is fun, it is exciting, it is challenging. Remember the delight on your daughter's face when you bought her the Barbie doll; or the thrilling vacation in Dubai last year; or the sense of achievement when your share became a ten-bagger. Enjoy the beautiful process of earning, investing and spending your money.

Yellow = Joy and Happiness

Marriage, childbirth, grih-pravesh, auspicious occasions, etc. are a source of great joy and happiness in any family. And gold is an integral part of such occasions in India. Hence, add a touch of yellow to your financial rainbow by investing in gold.

Green = Life, Nature, Harmony

The green colour is associated with nature and mother earth. Our home too is a part of this earth. Buying a house, therefore, adds the fourth colour and a valuable dimension to your financial portfolio.

Blue = Stability and calmness

Too much activity and too much volatility are not good for the stomach. There should also be periods of calmness and stability. Debt-based investments such as bank fixed deposits, bonds, debentures, debt mutual funds provide that very critical stability and steadiness to your financial portfolio.

Indigo = Wisdom and awareness

Needless to mention, knowledge and wisdom is the key to success in any facet of life. The same is true for your financial growth too. Without right knowledge and right aptitude you will not be able to make the right decisions and buy right financial products. 

Violet = Spiritual mastery

Finally, of course, one must pursue money with a detached mindset. Money is important; but not all-important. Family, love, friendship, health etc. have an equal (if not more) significance in one's life.

As mentioned in the beginning, there will be many pots of gold at the end of this financial rainbow - Go get them!

Sanjay Matai is a personal finance advisor ( www.wealtharchitects.in ) and author.

Sunday, August 18, 2013

The Code Phrases Wall Street Insiders Don't Want You To ...

5 Best Insurance Stocks To Own Right Now

When I received my MBA 20 years ago, I thought I was pretty well versed in the world of finance. But when I got to Wall Street that summer, I was quickly overwhelmed.

A litany of phrases were tossed out that I never read about in my finance textbooks. Here's just a small sample of investing phrases that they never talked about in b-school.

"I'm looking for the stock to consolidate from here."

Translation: I expect this stock to start falling and wouldn't want to buy it. This is a similar sentiment to a Wall Street downgrade from "buy" to "neutral" or "hold." Such downgrades actually mean a stock is very unappealing and bound to fall in price. Analysts use that code to avoid the dreaded "sell" rating, which can alienate them from the companies they follow.
"I smell a secondary."

A secondary public offering, that is. Whether it's due to a cash crunch, the need to raise funds to make a major investment, or just an opportune time to raise cash when share prices are high, companies periodically replenish their balance sheets. And investors try to handicap when a company will soon announce a secondary public offering (as opposed to the initial one-time initial public offering (known as an IPO) of shares.)

If there is a good chance that a share offering is coming, many investors quickly sell their ho! ldings. That's because lining up demand for fresh shares at current prices is often difficult, leading a company to lower its offering price to entice investors. And any deal that is priced below the current stock price will invariably pull the stock price down to the new lower level.
"Those spreads will kill you."

The difference between the bid and ask prices for a stock (known as a trading spread) are established by market makers (on the Nasdaq) or specialists (on the New York and American Stock Exchanges). Smaller companies are often subject to low trading volumes, and without a lot of action, market makers and specialists are content to keep those spreads far apart, sometimes by a nickel or a dime. And that spread can act like a tax, robbing you of gains when it comes time to sell the stock back to the market maker or specialist. That's why some investors will only seek out stocks with tight spreads, usually 2 cents or less.
"The deal is instantly accretive."

Ever notice how a stock will sometimes fall sharply when a company announces a major acquisition? That's because investors express concern that the deal will lead to too many new shares being issued (which can dilute per share profits), or the acquisition will be hard to integrate into a company's existing operations (known as "acquisition indigestion").

Yet some deals hold instant appeal, simply because the acquisition is expected to boost profits at a faster pace than the share count grows. This is known as an "accret! ive" (rat! her than dilutive) deal and should almost always be welcomed by investors.
"You want that in a paired trade."

Analysts can sometimes be enthusiastic about a stock while conceding that the broader industry they follow may hold the same appeal. An investor exodus from a whole industry or sector can lead to losses in a stock that has comparatively better prospects. So these analysts suggest you invest in the company they recommend but also take a short position in another company in that industry. In effect, you are removing what is known as "market risk," "sector risk" or "industry risk" and just focusing on the relative upside for a given stock.
"The earnings are high quality."

Analysts often speak about the quality of a company's earnings, differentiating between companies that consistently deliver clean, transparent results and those that habitually resort to a series of one-time gains or charges to artificially generate a specific quarterly profit.

In a similar vein, investors should always steer clear if a company has "one-time" charges or gains every quarter, simply because the practice is misleading. Most of the time, these repeated accounting changes are just a normal part of doing business, but if they constantly recur, then management is trying to slap "lipstick on a pig."
"Whisper number."

Investors often assess a company's near-term prospects by the directional change in earnings estimates. A rising estimate may signal an imminent good quarter. But as you get closer to the actual earnings release date, such numbers become irrelevant. In the final weeks leading up to earnings announcements, most analysts won't change their formal earnings estimates (which are published on sites such as Yahoo Finance).

Instead, these analysts call up their favorite clients to privately share their current thinking about expected quarterly results. Pretty soon, these numbers are "whispered" from trading desk to trading desk, and by the time actual results are released, share prices will have responded to the whisper number -- and not the formal earnings estimates that most investors will see.
Action to Take --> It's important to think like an advanced investor, and understanding all of the little tricks of the trade, as embodied in these phrases, will help sharpen your game.

This article originally published at InvestingAnswers.com
7 Bizarre Phrases That Wall Street Insiders Use Every Day

Friday, August 16, 2013

Hot Safest Stocks To Watch Right Now

The PC market meltdown over the past year hasn't been kind to holders of Intel (NASDAQ: INTC  ) stock, which is down more than 8% since last summer versus a better than 20% gain for the S&P 500.

You know what, though? It could be worse. Intel shares are up more than seven percentage points on the S&P year to date thanks long-overdue gains in the market for mobile chips. The latest example: Samsung, which recently signed on to use Intel's Haswell chipset in future versions of its Galaxy Tab.

But investing is also a game best played in context. How does Intel stock compare to peers Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD  ) and Texas Instruments (NASDAQ: TXN  ) ? Here's what the numbers say:

Key Statistics Intel AMD Texas Instruments

Current share price

Hot Safest Stocks To Watch Right Now: Fluor Corporation(FLR)

Fluor Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, construction, maintenance, and project management services worldwide. Its Oil & Gas segment offers design, engineering, procurement, construction, and project management services to upstream oil and gas production, downstream refining, chemicals, and petrochemicals industries. This segment also provides consulting services comprising feasibility studies, process assessment, and project finance structuring and studies. The company?s Industrial & Infrastructure segment offers design, engineering, procurement, and construction services to the transportation, wind power, mining and metals, life sciences, manufacturing, commercial and institutional, telecommunications, microelectronics, and healthcare sectors. Its Government segment provides engineering, construction, logistics support, contingency response, management, and operations services to the United States government focusing on the Departme nt of Energy, the Department of Homeland Security, and the Department of Defense. The company?s Global Services segment offers operations and maintenance, small capital project engineering and execution, site equipment and tool services, industrial fleet services, plant turnaround services, temporary staffing services, and supply chain solutions. Its Power segment provides engineering, procurement, construction, program management, start-up and commissioning, and operations and maintenance services to the gas fueled, solid fueled, plant betterment, renewables, nuclear, and power services markets. The company also offers unionized management and construction services in the United States and Canada. Fluor Corporation was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By CRWE]

    Fluor Corporation�� (NYSE:FLR) Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, David Seaton, and Chief Financial Officer, Biggs Porter, will give a presentation to investors at the Credit Suisse 2012 Engineering & Construction Conference in New York on Thursday, June 7 at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time.

Hot Safest Stocks To Watch Right Now: Under Armour Inc.(UA)

Under Armour, Inc. develops, markets, and distributes performance apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and youth primarily in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It offers products made from moisture-wicking synthetic fabrics designed to regulate body temperature and enhance performance regardless of weather conditions. The company provides its products in three fit types: compression (tight fitting), fitted (athletic cut), and loose (relaxed) extending across the sporting goods, outdoor, and active lifestyle markets. Its footwear offerings comprise football, baseball, lacrosse, softball, and soccer cleats; slides; performance training footwear; and running footwear. The company also provides baseball batting, football, golf, and running gloves, as well as licenses bags, socks, headwear, custom-molded mouth guards, and eyewear that are designed to be used and worn before, during, and after competition. Under Armour sells its products through retai l stores, as well as directly to consumers through its own retail outlets and specialty stores, Website, and catalogs. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Victor Mora]

    Under Armour provides athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories to a growing health and wellness, athletic, and fitness enthusiast population around the world. The stock has been on a powerful move towards higher prices that has led to it trading at all-time highs. Earnings and revenue figures have increased over most of the last four quarters which has led to excited investors. Relative to its peers and sector, Under Armour has led in year-to-date performance by a wide margin. Look for Under Armour to OUTPERFORM.

  • [By Glenn]  

    Current Price: $27.27 12-month target: $37

    I see potential in opportunities for new product adjacencies, and expanding distribution worldwide. Footwear growth will continue to increase. Revenues for these products have increased over 69% in 2009. Adding to this I still see growth in Under Armour’s apparel sales, which are up 8%. Under Armor had yet to even break into the international market, which offers a plethora of new opportunities for this growing brand. I believe sales will rise drastically in 2010 driven by international sales, new women’s clothing line, and expansion within their own footwear line.

Top 5 Value Stocks To Own For 2014: Goldman Sachs Group Inc.(The)

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides investment banking, securities, and investment management services to corporations, financial institutions, governments, and high-net-worth individuals worldwide. Its Investment Banking segment offers financial advisory, including advisory assignments with respect to mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, corporate defense, risk management, restructurings, and spin-offs; and underwriting securities, loans and other financial instruments, and derivative transactions. The company?s Institutional Client Services segment provides client execution activities, such as fixed income, currency, and commodities client execution related to making markets in interest rate products, credit products, mortgages, currencies, and commodities; and equities related to making markets in equity products, as well as commissions and fees from executing and clearing institutional client transactions on stock, options, and fu tures exchanges. This segment also engages in the securities services business providing financing, securities lending, and other prime brokerage services to institutional clients, including hedge funds, mutual funds, pension funds, and foundations. Its Investing and Lending segment invests in debt securities, loans, public and private equity securities, real estate, consolidated investment entities, and power generation facilities. This segment also involves in the origination of loans to provide financing to clients. The company?s Investment Management segment provides investment management services and investment products to institutional and individual clients. This segment also offers wealth advisory services, including portfolio management and financial counseling, and brokerage and other transaction services to high-net-worth individuals and families. In addition, it provides global investment research services. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Hot Safest Stocks To Watch Right Now: Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras(PBR)

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. primarily engages in oil and natural gas exploration and production, refining, trade, and transportation businesses. The company?s Exploration and Production segment involves in the exploration, production, development, and production of oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas in Brazil. This segment supplies its products to the refineries in Brazil, as well as sells surplus petroleum and byproducts in domestic and foreign markets. Its Supply segment engages in the refining, logistics, transportation, and trade of oil and oil products; export of ethanol; and extraction and processing of schist, as well as holds interests in companies of the petrochemical sector in Brazil. The Gas and Energy segment involves in the transportation and trade of natural gas produced in or imported into Brazil; transportation and trade of LNG; and generation and trade of electric power. In addition, the segment has interests in natural gas transportation and d istribution companies; and thermoelectric power stations in Brazil, as well engages in fertilizer business. The Distribution segment distributes oil products, ethanol, and compressed natural gas in Brazil. The International segment involves in the exploration and production of oil and gas, as well as in supplying, gas and energy, and distribution operations in the Americas, Africa, Europe, and Asia. Further, the company involves in biofuel production business. Petroleo Brasileiro was founded in 1953 and is based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dave Friedman]

    Institutional investors bought 78,663,680 shares and sold 101,125,380 shares, for a net of -22,461,700 shares. This net represents 0.23% of common shares outstanding. The number of shares outstanding is 9,872,826,100. The shares recently traded at $27.61 and the company’s market capitalization is $170,178,700,000.00. About the company: Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras explores for and produces oil and natural gas. The Company refines, markets, and supplies oil products. Petrobras operates oil tankers, distribution pipelines, marine, river and lake terminals, thermal power plants, fertilizer plants, and petrochemical units. The Company operates in South America and elsewhere around the world.

Thursday, August 15, 2013

HUDCO's Rs 500cr tax-free bonds issue opens

In the first tranche, which was launched On January 9 and closed on February 7, the company had raised Rs 2,195 crore. The second tranche would open from today and close on March 15, 2013 .

"We are launching the second tranche of our tax-free bonds from tomorrow. The issue size is Rs 500 crore with an option to retain over-subscription up to Rs 2,805 crore," HUDCO Chairman and Managing Director V P Baligar told PTI.

HUDCO would utilise the issue proceeds for lending purposes, working capital requirements, augmenting resource base of the company and other operational requirements.

It would offer a higher coupon rate of 7.69 percent for 15 years maturity period and 7.53 percent for 10 years to retail investors. An investment up to Rs 10 lakh qualifies under retail category. For others, the coupon rates are 7.19 percent for 15 years and 7.03 percent for 10 years.

The coupon rates for retail investors are lower than the first tranche as interest rates have gone down, he added. HUDCO, a mini-ratna firm, is a financial institution that provides long-term finance for housing and urban infrastructure projects.

The company had posted net profit of Rs 630.33 crore over a gross income of Rs 2,778.63 crore in the 2011-12 fiscal. The company is expecting to achieve the sanctioning and disbursal targets for this fiscal at Rs 22,000 crore and over Rs 6,000 crore, respectively.

The US Economy Is Sitting on the Threshold of a New Golden Age: Part One

Introduction: Don't Sell the U.S. Economy (or the World's) Short

In the past, I've written numerous articles positing a long-term optimistic outlook for both our economy and the attractive future growth prospects of our great American businesses. Even though I hate to forecast the market in general, I have even presented evidence indicating that the general market as represented by the S&P 500 is currently reasonably priced and even slightly undervalued. My most recent contribution can be found here.

Unfortunately, optimistic views on our economy and/or our markets are generally met with resistance and even criticism. One of the most common arguments to counter my optimism is the statement by my antagonists that they are realists. Thereby they are implying that my optimism is unrealistic, and moreover, that a pessimistic outlook is more realistic than an optimistic one. Yet, there is a preponderance of supporting evidence for optimism that many ignore or refuse to even consider.

In an attempt to clarify my point, I presented the following F.A.S.T. Graphs™ (actually one very close to this one, but with slightly different dates) in my most recent article illustrating that the S&P 500 is modestly undervalued at this time. The orange line on the graph represents a P/E ratio of 15 applied to an earnings growth rate (slope of the line) of 7.7% since the beginning of calendar year 1993. All of the data is historically actual, with the exception of an estimate for 2012 earnings currently at $104.70 per share.

Now, what this graph clearly shows is that the actual blended P/E ratio of the S&P 500 of 13.1 based on actual earnings since 1993, is one of the lowest it has been (remember the orange line is a P/E of 15). This is not a statistical reference, but a picture of what has actually occurred and how the market has actually valued the S&P 500 since 1993. Clearly, the market has overvalued the S&P 500 (the black price line above the orange line) for most of this almost 20-year period! , until and since March of 2011.

This is important information, with no conjecture or hypothesis involved — just pure, unadulterated facts.

Getting back to my optimism versus realism theme, the graphic also shows two time periods where earnings fell. The first time occurred during the recession of 2001, and then once again during the recession of 2008. The realist in me recognizes that these temporary economic interruptions can and do occur. However, the optimist in me recognizes that they are always temporary, where growth will eventually return, as it always has. In other words, it is realistic to acknowledge that business cycles occur, but even more realistic to realize that they do correct themselves. Consequently, I never fear them.

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But here is where the argument really gets interesting. The naysayers will immediately point out, and almost take great pride and even glee in stating that the good economic times are permanently behind us and that the once-great American economy is now doomed. Therefore, forecasts for future earnings growth are Pollyanna optimistic because our economy is now weak and soon set to implode. The rationale behind their belief that the American economy is weak and collapsing will usually focus on the huge debt load of our government. Next they will further lament on how the same potential bankruptcy exists for all of Europe as well.

My biggest problem with this line of reasoning is that I believe they are erroneously equating the health of government with the health of our economy. Contrary to what most people believe, or are willing to accept, government does not run the economy, and government is not the economy. In fact, I believe and I will be discussing in more detail later in this series of articles, that what our economy really needs is a lot less government and our markets a lot more freedom. In short, government is an ex! pense and! not a factor of production.

This leads me to perhaps some of the most important statements I will make in this whole series of articles. The true strength of an economy lies within its productivity capabilities. In this context, there is no economy that exists today, nor any economy that has ever existed on the face of this earth that is more productive, and therefore more powerful and healthy than the U.S. economy of today. But even more importantly, our future productivity over the next couple of decades is poised to grow exponentially. As this occurs, future prosperity and the opportunities it brings with it are nothing short of remarkable. Yes, that is an optimistic statement, but also realistic at the same time. Over the course of this series, I intend to provide numerous reasons and evidence for my cheerful view of our country's exciting future economic potential.

Building the Case for Optimism Factoid Number One

Human beings worldwide seem to have a penchant for pessimism. Surrounded by amazing and exciting reasons to be grateful and to feel good about our futures, we will obsess upon problems perceived and/or imagined and blow them completely out of proportion. However, that is not the worst part, because in so doing we become oblivious to the good and therefore overwhelmed by the less relevant bad that we only acknowledge.

I will once again turn to my friend John Bodnar to put what I said thus far into perspective as he so uniquely is capable of doing. The following excerpt from one of his recent writings provides an interesting spin on my thesis for optimism over pessimism:
Boring! As the sages in the media fixate on inequality, Occupy encampments and street confrontations, one of the mega-trends of the new millennium continues to steam roll across the planet, and will very soon achieve a historic milestone. Very soon my friends, for the first time in history, a majority of our fellow residents on God's green Earth will live above the global poverty line. More f! olks ABOV! E the poverty line than BELOW it. Hallelujah! Yet no parade. Why? Because the truth flies in the face of the negative narratives of the declinists and their lap dogs in the media.

A monster mega-trend ignored by the media? Should that shock us? Only if you were shocked that there was gambling at Rick's in Casablanca. The information that most investors get is terrible. Akin to financial pornography. The latest drumbeat is Europe; avoid Europe at all costs. Here's a memo to all financial journalists: the year is 2012 and the zip code of the home office of the company is now officially irrelevant. As investors we should care only about where the company's customers and earnings are located.

The greatest companies in the world know their competitors and are globally diversified. Which company is the bigger USA play? Coke with an Atlanta zip code and only 20% of sales in the USA, or Nestlé domiciled in Switzerland with more sales in the US than Coke? Journalists constantly ask who will be the Nike of China? Answer: Nike. Investors should not confuse companies with countries. What do companies make and where do they sell it? That is what is important.

We are witnessing, in real time, a major increase in the buying power of the majority of the people on our planet. Mass affluence, Aging and New technologies (especially in data transmission and storage), all translate into monster opportunities for the greatest companies in the world. Emerging market customers want what we in the West have, and they want it right now! And the great companies of the world are busy providing it to them. Defeat the declinists… buy companies"In order to support my position as a realist, I thought it would be fun to show the three companies that John mentioned in his writings. Like John, I believe that these are all examples of "great companies of the world." However, the realist in me is concerned about valuation. When looked at through the lens of F.A.S.T. Graphs™ we see that Nestle (NSRGY) and Coca-Col! a (KO) ar! e both fully valued to slightly overvalued, and Nike (NKE) is significantly overvalued. Therefore, although I am optimistic about all three, I would wait for a better entry point before I invested in any of them.

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Summary

In part one of this three-part series I have merely introduced the very beginnings of why investors should be realistically optimistic about the long-term future of our great country and its economy. On the other hand, this does not mean that I deny the possibility of temporary interruptions in our growth. On the contrary, one of the unfortunate attributes of the exponential growth of technology is the inevitable creative destruction that comes with it.

In her book, "Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages," Carlotta Perez explains that before the great profits and benefits can occur from the deployment stage of technological advancements, we must first endure the process of creative destruction. During this phase, old business models must give way to the new and either adapt or die. This requires that people, corporations, and yes, even governments must unlearn the old paradigms before they can benefit from the new ones.

My point is that it would be unrealistic to believe that we can expect economic gain without exp! ecting so! me pain. As any respectable bodybuilder would put it "no pain, no gain." On the other hand, much of the pain has already passed us. Furthermore, government interference has greatly contributed to delaying and prolonging the healing process that inevitably occurs with free markets.

In my next installment I will introduce and elaborate on the information technology and telecommunications wave of prosperity that started in 1971 in the U.S. According to Trends Magazine, that has written extensively on this subject over the years, this is the fifth wave of five waves that began with the industrial revolution in 1771. Furthermore, Trends Magazine states that all economic revolutions go through three phases:

" 1. Installation-when an initial boom expands, inevitably leading to a bursting bubble.

2. Transition- when disappointed investors revalue the assets of the bubble.

3. Deployment-when the dominant technology matures and becomes the foundation for everything else in the economy

Trends then goes on to state:

"Regardless of how long this third phase lasts, once deployment gets going, it has always ushered in a 'golden age' in which speculation and venture capital give way to an economy driven by real profits… we argue that we are now at, or very near, the end of the turning point and poised to enter the 'Golden age' of deployment for the silicone-based wave."

I am confident that we are on the verge of one of the most exciting economic "golden ages" in our economy's grand history. In the next two installments I will cite specific industries and provide several sample companies that stand to greatly benefit from the advances in technology that have already laid the foundation for prosperity beyond what the world has ever witnessed before. This is no time to be pessimists about our future; there's too much opportunity and profit ahead.

Industries Benefiting From The Great Inflection Point Ahead

The July 2012 issue of Trends Magazine has an artic! le titled! Understanding the Great Inflection Point Ahead. The beginning of this article recaps several of their previous articles dealing with the potential benefits of the information technology and telecommunications age, which they refer to as the fifth revolution that started in 1971 in the U.S. The following excerpts highlight some important messages that this installment offers:

"We are four decades into the fifth techno-economic revolution. More importantly, we are now struggling through the current revolutions tumultuous inflection point—a profound transition from the first, investment-intensive phase, in which all of those investments will begin to pay off in wondrous new ways of communicating, innovating, and living, creating a quantum leap in human quality of life."

The next excerpt I would like to share looks back to their July 2011 issue where they revisit their article Reengineering the U.S. Economy:

"The July 2011 issue, examined how the new technologies and business models of the fifth techno-economic revolution are likely to be applied to solve the debt crisis, redefine the social contract, and boost the economy by reinventing education, healthcare, and other industries."

Conclusions

Thus far, I've only scratched the surface of introducing what I believe are the many numerous opportunities and advancements that I believe will benefit our long-term economic health. Unfortunately, these stories go almost totally ignored by the mainstream media which instead revels in focusing on our problems. To be sure, we do have problems that need to be solved. But more importantly, the evidence validates my beliefs that we have the wherewithal and the capacity to get the job done. Therefore, I find it more realistic, and yes optimistic, to focus my attention on the solutions.

In part two, I will review, but again only scratch the surface of, several opportunities and solutions that I believe suggests a new golden age for our economy. Along with this golden age will c! ome profi! table growth to those companies smart enough to recognize and embrace the technological revolution. But to be clear, I am not just referring to technology companies. Opportunities will abound for virtually every industry. From infrastructure build out, healthcare, education, consumer goods and services to you name it, the techno-economic revolution will help them all become more profitable and grow. And of course, our economy along with it.

Disclosure: Long KO at the time of writing.

Disclaimer: The opinions in this document are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell the stocks mentioned or to solicit transactions or clients. Past performance of the companies discussed may not continue and the companies may not achieve the earnings growth as predicted. The information in this document is believed to be accurate, but under no circumstances should a person act upon the information contained within. We do not recommend that anyone act upon any investment information without first consulting an investment adviser as to the suitability of such investments for his specific situation.

Friday, August 9, 2013

U.K. Stocks Advance on China Data, Trimming Weekly Drop

U.K. stocks advanced for a second day, paring the benchmark FTSE 100 (UKX) Index's weekly decline, after a report showed China's industrial output rose more than estimated in July.

Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) led commodity producers higher amid signs of growing demand from the world's second-biggest economy. BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP) and Rio Tinto Group, the world's largest mining companies, rallied more than 3 percent. Standard Life Plc (SL/) declined 3.3 percent as analysts raised concern about the insurer's earnings.

The FTSE 100 gained 53.71 points, or 0.8 percent, to 6,583.39 at the close in London, paring the retreat this week to 1 percent. The gauge has rallied 9.2 percent from a low on June 24 as the U.S. Federal Reserve said it remains flexible on the pace of bond buying and the European Central Bank and the Bank of England signaled interest rates will remain low for an extended period. The broader FTSE All-Share Index added 0.7 percent today, while Ireland's ISEQ Index (ISEQ) increased 0.9 percent.

"If the recent Chinese data can be moved into their GDP, confidence can come back," Justin Harris, head of trading at Guardian Stockbrokers in London, said in a phone interview. "Mining stocks' performance has been very weak this year and we expect them to gather pace into September. We are buying any weakness we get."

China's factory production increased 9.7 percent in July from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said today in Beijing. Retail sales advanced 13.2 percent while fixed-asset investment excluding rural households grew 20.1 percent in the first seven months of the year. Consumer prices rose 2.7 percent last month.

'Data Surprises'

"It feels likes it has been a long time since markets have received a boost from Chinese data surprises," Jim Reid, a strategist at Deutsche Bank AG in London, wrote in a note. "The Chinese data flow has shown some tentative signs of stabilizing in the last month or so."

China's exports and imports rebounded by more than estimated last month, the General Administration of Customs said yesterday. The Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) dropped 13 percent in the first half of the year on concern the Asian economy was slowing faster than expected. China is the world's largest consumer of metals.

The FTSE All-Share Mining Index rose 3 percent. Randgold, a producer of the metal in Africa, advanced 6.8 percent to 4,722 pence. Fresnillo Plc (FRES), which operates silver and gold mines in Mexico, rallied 8.2 percent to 1,035 pence.

BHP Billiton climbed 3.4 percent to 1,963.5 pence and Rio Tinto surged 5 percent to 3,167.5 pence. The Standard & Poor's GSCI Index (SPGSCI) of raw materials rose 0.9 percent at 5:07 p.m. in London, after five sessions of losses.

European Miners

Top Stocks To Invest In 2014

The Stoxx 600 Basic Resource Index, a gauge of mining shares in Europe, has fallen 15 percent this year, the worst performance among 19 industries in the Stoxx Europe 600 Index.

Standard Life, Scotland's biggest insurer, dropped 3.3 percent to 365 pence. The shares fell 2.6 percent yesterday after the company reported first-half earnings.

"We are encouraged by the fact that management is cutting costs, but we question whether the company can continue to do this faster than the gross revenue margin decline we expect due to increased transparency and competition in the industry," a team of analysts at Societe Generale SA wrote in a report today.

The number of shares trading hands on FTSE 100-listed companies was in line with the average of the past 30 days, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Wednesday, August 7, 2013

Top Growth Companies To Invest In 2014

LONDON -- Stock index futures at 7 a.m. EDT indicate that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) may open 0.36% higher this morning, while the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC  ) may open up by 0.4%. Both indexes closed sharply lower yesterday after weaker-than-expected economic data dented investor sentiment and led to a big drop for the CNN Fear & Greed Index, which closed down 13 points at 58.

This morning's trading is likely to be influenced by the Japanese central bank's surprise decision to accelerate its bond-buying program and double its monetary base in the next two years. The Bank of Japan said it would expand its balance sheet from $1.43 trillion to $2.86 trillion by March 2015 by doubling its asset purchases, the majority of which will be long-term government bonds. The bank is targeting inflation of 2% to kick-start growth after years of deflation.

Top Growth Companies To Invest In 2014: Westell Technologies Inc.(WSTL)

Westell Technologies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the design, distribution, marketing, and servicing a range of broadband, digital transmission, remote monitoring, power distribution, and demarcation products used by telephone companies and other telecommunications service providers. It operates in three segments: Customer Networking Systems (CNS) equipment, Outside Plant Systems (OSP) equipment, and ConferencePlus services. The CNS equipment segment provides networking and high-speed transmissions products, such as modems, routers, versatile gateway devices, and wireless broadband home routers that allow service providers to deliver broadband services over existing copper, fiber, coax, or wireless infrastructures. The OSP segment offers next generation outdoor cabinets; enclosures; power distribution; fiber, Ethernet, and coax edge connectors; remote monitoring equipment; and DS1 and DS3 transmission plugs. This segment also markets and sells power distribu tion and remote monitoring solutions. The ConferencePlus services segment provides audio, Web, and video conferencing services to businesses and individuals. This segment sells its services directly to Fortune 1000 companies, and indirectly through its private reseller programs. The company offers its products through field sales organizations and selected distributors in the United States, as well as in Canada and Europe. Westell Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Aurora, Illinois.

Top Growth Companies To Invest In 2014: Whitehaven Coal Ltd (WHITF)

Whitehaven Coal Limited (Whitehaven) is engaged in the development and operation of coal mines in New South Wales. During the fiscal year ended 30 June 2012 (fiscal 2012), Whitehaven Coal Limited and its controlled entities continued development at the Narrabri underground mine. The Company operates in two segments: Open Cut Operations and Underground Operations. The Company�� Gunnedah operations include the Tarrawonga (70% owned by Whitehaven), Rocglen (100% owned by Whitehaven), and Sunnyside (100% owned by Whitehaven) open cut mines and the Gunnedah coal handling and preparation plant and train load out facility (CHPP��(100% owned by Whitehaven). The Werris Creek mine is 100% owned by Whitehaven. During fiscal 2012, the Company produced 4.28 million tons per annum of saleable coal. On May 1, 2012, the Company acquired Boardwalk Resources Limited. On May 2, 2012, the Company acquired Aston Resources Limited. On June 20, 2012, it acquired Coalworks Limited. Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jim Jubak]

    OK, so First Quantum Minerals (FQVLF) is a bit of a gamble. But the company, even without Inmet Mining (IEMMF), is a major miner of copper, gold and nickel, and its shares are up 15.6% in the past 12 months as of Dec. 18. My last three stocks on this list, on the other hand, are hated.

    Which, of course, means that they've got tremendous upside if the market simply moves from "hated" to "despised." My first pick is Australian coal producer Whitehaven Coal (WHITF). The only thing more hated than a coal stock -- on falling coal prices and falling demand from everywhere, but especially China -- is an Australian coal stock, to which you can add rising production costs to the list of woes.

    Whitehaven Coal, which owns seven mines (and important railroad infrastructure) in New South Wales, freaked out the market in October, when it said that if coal prices stayed at current low levels, EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) would come in at just $50 millionAustralian (that's about $52.4 million in U.S. dollars) for 2013. That was a shock, since the analyst consensus for 2013 EBITDA was then at A$185 million. Since then, though, prices of Australian thermal coal have shown signs of climbing off the floor with reports of increased growth from China. Coal still sells for 27% less than it did a year ago, but the Nov. 30 price of $83.01 per metric ton is an improvement from $81.85 on Oct. 31.

    Whitehaven shares posted a 26.6% gain from a Nov. 16 low through Dec. 19, but they are still well below the highest price of the year.

10 Best Stocks To Own For 2014: Arrowhead Research Corporation(ARWR)

Arrowhead Research Corporation, a clinical stage nanomedicine company, through its subsidiaries, develops therapeutic products at the interface of biology and nanoengineering to cure disease and improve human health. It focuses on the design and development of therapeutic agents for the treatment of cancer and obesity, as well as healing wounded or diseased tissue based on nucleic acid delivery, siRNA chemistry, and tissue targeting intellectual properties. The company?s lead products include CALAA-01, an oncology drug candidate based on the gene silencing RNA interference (RNAi) mechanism; and Adipotide, an anti-obesity peptide that targets and kills the blood vessels that feed white adipose tissue. It also plans to develop its internal preclinical and clinical pipeline, including RONDEL-enabled siRNA drug candidates, Dynamic Polyconjugate (DPC)-enabled drug candidate development, and the non-siRNA-based anti-obesity drug candidate, Adipotide. The company, formerly known as InterActive Group, Inc., was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Pasadena, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    Arrowhead Research (ARWR) is a development stage nanotechnology holding company that forms, acquires, and operates subsidiaries commercializing innovative nanotechnologies. This is trading up 12.2% to $2.04 in recent trading.

    Today’s Range: $1.80-$2.08

    52-Week Range: $1.65-$5.79

    Volume: 141,000

    Three-Month Average Volume: 121,952

    Shares of ARWR are soaring higher after the company announced the pricing of a private offering with gross proceeds expected to be $36 million. The offering was priced at $1.83 per share.

    From a technical perspective, ARWR is soaring here back above some near-term overhead resistance at $1.95 and back above its 50-day moving average at $2.07 with above-average volume. At last check, ARWR has hit an intraday high of $2.09 and volume is just starting to surpass its three-month average action of 121,952 shares.

    Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ARWR as long as it’s trending above $1.95 and then once it sustains a move or close above its 50-day at $2.07 with volume that hits near or above 121,952 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then ARWR will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $2.25 to its 200-day at $2.41. Any high-volume move above $2.41 will then put $2.55 to $2.70 into range for shares of ARWR.

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Apple Touts Jobs It Creates, Taxes It Pays

Ahead of Tim Cook's congressional testimony tomorrow about Apple's (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) tax policies, the company has released a 17-page statement (link opens PDF) outlining its tax policy.

In the statement outlining the testimony it will give, the company points out that it employs tens of thousands of Americans, makes products that benefit tens of millions of Americans, and pays billions of dollars in corporate income and payroll taxes to the Treasury each year.

The company also "welcomes an objective examination" of the U.S. corporate tax system, which Apple believes "has not kept pace with" the rapidly evolving technologies and the economy. Apple says it encourages a comprehensive tax reform to promote growth and allow American multinationals to remain competitive.

Apple says it has helped create or support approximately 600,000 domestic jobs, of which 50,000 are Apple employees and 550,000 are indirectly related to other fields like manufacturing and logistics, among others. The company believes 290,000 jobs have been created from the "App Economy" from its App Store, and Apple has paid out a cumulative total of $9 billion to developers.

Apple also notes that it may be the "largest corporate income tax payer" in the country, paying almost $6 billion in fiscal 2012. It estimates that this represents 2.5% of all corporate income tax collected by the Treasury last year. Apple expects this figure to rise to $7 billion in fiscal 2013.

In Apple's view, a comprehensive reform would include a tax system that is revenue neutral, eliminates all corporate tax expenditures, lowers income tax rates, and implements a reasonable tax on foreign earnings that allows capital to move freely. Apple argues that the current tax system was created under an "industrial era" that undermines U.S. competitiveness in a "digital economy." 

Cook is to testify before the Senate's Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations in connection with its inquiry into the tax practices of multinational companies.

link

Monday, August 5, 2013

What to Expect from Smart Technologies

Smart Technologies (Nasdaq: SMT  ) is expected to report Q4 earnings on May 16. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Smart Technologies's revenues will wither -22.4% and EPS will remain in the red.

The average estimate for revenue is $114.8 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is -$0.04.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Smart Technologies reported revenue of $138.9 million. GAAP reported sales were 25% lower than the prior-year quarter's $185.2 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at -$0.02. GAAP EPS were -$0.42 for Q3 compared to $0.09 per share for the prior-year quarter.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 42.4%, 70 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was -1.2%, 970 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was -36.6%, much worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $608.9 million. The average EPS estimate is $0.17.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 59 members out of 68 rating the stock outperform, and nine members rating it underperform. Among 11 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 11 give Smart Technologies a green thumbs-up, and give it a red thumbs-down.

Best Bank Companies To Own For 2014

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Smart Technologies is outperform, with an average price target of $2.71.

Is Smart Technologies the best tech stock for you? You may be missing something obvious. Check out the semiconductor company that Motley Fool analysts expect to lead "The Next Trillion-dollar Revolution." Click here for instant access to this free report.

Add Smart Technologies to My Watchlist.

Sunday, August 4, 2013

Google Should Kill Google Glass Before It's Too Late

Google (NASDAQ: GOOG  ) is generating too many negative reviews from the first wave of Google Glass adopters, and its best course of action may be to nix the search giant's first foray into wearable computing before it becomes a more expensive and embarrassing flop.

It's not this weekend's Saturday Night Live parody. The comedy show also poked fun at Yum! Brands putting out Doritos-dusted tacos last year, and that single introduction was credited with dramatically boosting sales at Taco Bell.

It's not that the initial wave of critics are questioning if we really need glasses with computing functionality. When Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) introduced the iPad three years ago, it was also originally panned by skeptics wondering if we really needed tablets.

Wearable computing is the real deal. It's coming. However, the early successes have been the Pebble smart watch and Nike's (NYSE: NKE  ) FuelBand fitness-tracking bracelet. These are devices that are conveniently worn around the wrist, and it's where wearable computing will win its first battle.

In this video, longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz suggests that Google may be better off killing Google Glass before it attempts a retail rollout. 

It's more important than ever to understand each piece of Google's sprawling empire. In The Motley Fool's new premium research report on Google, we break down the risks and potential rewards for Google investors. Simply click here now to unlock your copy of this invaluable resource.

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More Expert Advice from The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool's chief investment officer has selected his No. 1 stock for the next year. Find out which stock in our brand-new free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." I invite you to take a copy, free for a limited time. Just click here to access the report and find out the name of this under-the-radar company.

Saturday, August 3, 2013

3 Reasons to Own Apple Today

Apple  (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) reported its latest quarterly earnings, and the market was ambivalent. In this video, Andrew Tonner makes the case for owning Apple now that its earnings report is in. First, Apple moved to return capital to shareholders. This came in the form of increasing its dividend and initiating a stock buyback. Even better, Apple used low-cost debt to help fund all this, thus avoiding U.S. taxes.

Second, Apple does have a product  pipeline, and we can anticipate product launches in the summer and fall of this year. A low cost iPhone could be one of the biggest revenue movers released by the company this year. A new variation of the iPad could be launched as well. Lastly, in the next 12-18 months, Apple will be rolling out other products, possibly the iTV, or iWatch, or both. If these are the disruptive technologies they are rumored to be, they will drive Apple revenues for months. The market does not seem to see it that way, but Andrew thinks the market has it wrong and recommends adding Apple to your portfolio.

There's no doubt that Apple is at the center of technology's largest revolution ever, and that longtime shareholders have been handsomely rewarded with over 1,000% gains. However, there is a debate raging as to whether Apple remains a buy. The Motley Fool's senior technology analyst and managing bureau chief, Eric Bleeker, is prepared to fill you in on both reasons to buy and reasons to sell Apple, and what opportunities are left for the company (and your portfolio) going forward. To get instant access to his latest thinking on Apple, simply click here now.